Can a robot take your work?

28 Mar

There is a vigorous debate about the consequences of automation on tasks. Everyone agrees that some jobs will be lost to automation and, in turn, many jobs will be created by it. The key question is how all that nets out.

Frequently missing in the abstract debate is the question of exactly which tasks will likely be automated. I've created a test to try to capture only that.

The idea is simple: Some things are absolutely simple for computers and robots to perform, and other things are absolutely difficult. Jobs in the "secure" category have a lot of things about those which are hard for machines to perform.

The good thing is that it doesn't take very many challenging things to make work, virtually speaking, impervious to automation, at least in this century. While occupations like "hostage negotiator" are definitely better achieved by people than machines, even jobs that seem like good candidates for automation have problems. In concept, a robot needs to have the ability to clean out the windows in my home, in practice that isn't very likely to occur for quite a very long time.

The evaluation is ten queries, and each one could be scored from 0 to 10. For every one, I provide examples of a few jobs at 0, 5, 5 and 10. My illustrations are meant to show each extreme, along with a midpoint. You shouldn't only score with these three factors. Use 7's and 2's and 9's.

When you are done, the whole is tallied. The closer it is to zero, the not as likely you are to receive a surprise announcement from the boss one day. The closer you get to 100, well, if you begin to feel something breathing down your back, they may function as the cooling system in the robot who's going to take your work.

The objective is not to find a job near a zero. Anything under a 70 is probably safe long enough for you to have a very long career. There are definite "100" endeavors. The person who takes your order at a fast food restaurant is probably pretty close.

Take the test. We wish to calibrate and enhance it, then write a research report regarding the outcomes. If you'd like to be kept in the loop about that, make sure you add your email address.

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